Laboratuwaar Ruleet · Laboratuwaar · Statistik · hojomaaji 8

Maanaa Statistik

“Tiiɗɗo” firti ina famɗi waawde waɗde e taarorde peewnde, wonaa “goonga”, wonaa kadi “ina rokka dañal”.

Jaabawol rabbiɗngol

Njaru p 0,05 firti taarorde peewnde ina rokka mbaadi ooñiindi no ɗuum laawol gootol e noogaas. So a ƴeewii taarorɗe noogaas, gootel ina yaltoo e hawritaare.

aada
p < 0,05
keewal “eey” fenaaɗo
5% e kala ƴeewndo
safaara
waɗtugol
ko ɗum wonaa
p(taarorde ina ooñii)

Ko njaru p woni

PorobabilitematematikPorobabiliteSahaa njeñtudi, immorde 0 haa 1 walla 0% haa 100%. Limoore wootere: 1/37 = 2,70%.Tar fof → yiyde ooñagol mawngol fotngol e ngol yiyaa walla ɓurngol, so taarorde ndee ina peewi. Ko konngol dow keɓe e sikke, wonaa dow taarorde ndee. Njaru plaboratuwaarNjaru pPorobabilite yiyde ɓoornugol mawnungol fotde e ngol yiyaa walla ɓurngol, so tawii taarorde ndee ko peewnde.Tar fof → 0,03 ina wiya: taarorde peewnde ina waɗa ɗum 3% e sahaaji. Wiyaani: ina woodi sahaa 97% taarorde ndee ina ooñii. Konngol ɗiɗmol ngol ina soklii anndude no taarorɗe ooñiiɗelaboratuwaarTaarorde ooñiindeTaarorde nde ŋakkeeli mum ɗi fiisik waɗi cuuɗi goɗɗi ina ɓura yaltude 1/37. Ina woowaa, anndetaake si wonaa e taarle ujunaaje winndaaɗe.Tar fof → keewiri gila fuɗɗoode, e kasino jamaanu kadi ɗe ina pamɗi no feewi, ɗum ina waɗa njeñtudi tiiɗndi gootiri ina ɓuri sikkitaade wonde hawritaare ko yiytere.

konngolina feewi?
p = 0,03 firti taarorde peewnde ina rokka keɓe ɓurtuɗe no ɗuum 3% e sahaajieey
p = 0,03 firti ina woodi sahaa 97% taarorde ndee ina ooñiialaa
p = 0,03 firti suudu wulndu ndee ina heddoo wuldealaa
p = 0,03 caggal ƴeewde taarorɗe 30 ko seede tiiɗndealaa; aɗa fodii njeñtuɗi gootiri walla ɗiɗi no ɗuum e sahaa
p = 0,03 laabi ɗiɗi, e misal ɗiɗi ceertuɗi taarorde wooterejooni ina haani jeeweede

Fotndooji keewɗi

Kala ƴeewndo mo waɗataa e taarorde peewnde ina jogii sahaa 5% yaltude e keerol 5%. Ƴeewndo taarorɗe noogaas, gootel ina yaltoo. Ƴeewndo taarorde wootere e waktuuji noogaas, gooto ina yaltoo. Ƴeewndo misal gootal e pecceele cuuɗikuutorɗeSuuduGootel e cuuɗi 37 limoraaɗi e rotoor. Ina noddee kadi: wenndu, kopp.Tar fof → 37, pecceele geɗe taarordetaarordeGeɗal taarordeCeeɓnde cuuɗi takkondirɗi e taarorde, ceertunde e mooftere e tapi.Tar fof → jeegom e pecceele noone tati, huunde ina yaltoo. Safaara ndee ko tabintinde ƴeewndo oo ado ndaarde keɓe ɗee, waɗde ɗum laawol gootol, teeŋtinde e keɓe kese. Ƴeewgol ngol yiyata taarorde “ooñiinde” ko heewi ko ngol tan addi njeñtudi ndii.

Sahaa heɓde “eey” fenaaɗo gooto walla ko ɓuri e p < 0,05%
ƴeewndo 1
5%
ƴeewndooji 5
23%
ƴeewndooji 10
40%
ƴeewndooji 20
64%
ƴeewndooji 37 (gooto e kala suudu)
85%
%
042,5085%
1 − 0,95ⁿ. Ƴeewndaade kala suudu ko woni ina hari ina tabitina yiyde suudu “tiiɗndu”.

Maanaa e mawneeje

Misal mawngal no feewi ina waawi waɗde ooñol tokoosol tiiɗde. Suudu heɓetee 1/36,5 e nder 1/37 ko ŋakkeende goonga, ina heɓa maanaa e taarle miliyoŋaaji seeɗa, kono ina majjina kaalis e njoɓdikaalisNjoɓdiKo pari dañndi ruttata, wiyaa “X e 1” ɓeydaa e pari ruttaaɗo.Tar fof → 35 e 1. Ko woni ko ngam fijoowo ko mawneeje ooñol ngol: hol suudu heɓetee 1/36 walla ko ɓuri, e no foti? Kii-kaare ina anndina ma taarorde ndee; keewal hebgol tan anndinta ma pari ngal.

Doole ƴeewndo

Juumre woɗnde ko majjude ooñol ngol woni toon. E taarle 1 000, suudu heɓetee 1/30 (ooñol mawngol no feewi) ina anndee hedde feccere sahaaji tan e keerol 5%. Keewal misal, wonaa ƴoyre, ina safra ɗum. Hello Keewal Misal ina rokka limooje ɗee.

Keerol nafoowol

Ngam wiyde ooñol ina woodi wona huunde ndaaretee: ƴeewndo suɓaaɗo ado, p < 0,01 wonaa 0,05, waɗtugol e misal ceertungal mawneeje mum nanndi, e keewal hebgol hiisaaɗo e cuuɗi suɓaaɗi 1/34 walla ko ɓuri caggal waɗtugol. Ngol keerol heɓaama laabi seeɗa e taariik fijo ngo, alaa hay laawol, no doggole renndo kollirta, e taarorde jamaanu aynaande.

Naamne

Ko waɗi 0,05?

Aada gila duuɓi 1920. Alaa ko ɗum ceerti; 0,01 ko keerol ɓurngol haanude so aɗa ƴeewa taarorɗe keewɗe.

So p ina famɗi no feewi, hol taarorde ndee ina ooñii ko tabitii?

Ina sikkitii wonde ina rokka njeñtuɗi fotɗi. Ina waawi wonde ko kurupiye, juumre winndugol walla caɗeele naatnugol keɓe. Waɗtu.

Hol njeñtudi tiiɗndi ina anndina mi suudu mo mi waɗata pari?

Alaa. Ina anndina ma senndugol ngol ina ooñii. Ƴeewtagol Geɗe Taarorde e mawneeje ooñol anndinta ma toon.

Weltaare e Matematik

Etu ɗum hoore maa adii. Kala jaabawol ina suuɗii; uddit ɗum so a heblii.

  1. Taarorde seerotaarordeSeeroSuudu haako wootere nde hay pari njoɓdi fotndi, sappo e ɗiɗi walla kolon kuuɓataa; ko ɗum woni iwdi ɓural kasino. Ina noddee kadi: seero gooto, 0.Tar fof → ɗiɗi nde haalaa ina hollinoo sappo e ɗiɗipariSappo e ɗiɗi1–12, 13–24 walla 25–36, ina yoɓa 2:1.Tar fof → adannde ndee ina yalta laabi 742 e nder taarle 3 000. Ɗum ko seerɗe ndenndaaɗematematikSeerndu ndenndaanduRaasin karee wariyaas; ko woɗɗeende aadanteende njeñtudi e njaru fodaandu.Tar fof → njelu les hakkundeere ndee, taarorde peewnde ina waɗa ɗum laabi njelu?

    Hollu jaabawol ngol

    Jaabawol Hono seerɗe ndenndaaɗe 8,1 les. Taarorde peewnde ina waɗa ɗum hono laabi gooto e nder etaaɗe 3 × 10¹⁵, ɗum ko abada. Jaabawol yaltinaangol e naamnal ngal ina wiya 11,75; men keɓi 8,07.

    Sappo e ɗiɗi adannde ndee ina jogii 12 e nder cuuɗikuutorɗeSuuduGootel e cuuɗi 37 limoraaɗi e rotoor. Ina noddee kadi: wenndu, kopp.Tar fof → 38. E taarle 3 000 ina jogii hakkundeere 3 000 × 12/38 = 947,4 hawrugol, e senndugol √(3 000 × 12/38 × 26/38) = 25,5.

    742 ko 205,4 les hakkundeere ndee: 205,4/25,5 = 8,07 senndugol.

    Taarorde peewnde ina ustoo senndugol tati hono laabi gooto e nder etaaɗe 740; senndugol jeetati, hono laabi gooto e nder 3 × 10¹⁵ (kuurtol Gauss, ɓerde wootere). Hay so ina limtee wonde tergal ngal tawii ko ɓuri bonde e nder sappo e ɗiɗi tati, ɗum waylataa hay huunde e ko foti. Njeñtudi hono ndii ina wiya taarorde ndee, walla limngal ngal, ko juumɗo. E taarorde seero gooto limngal gootal ngal ina wona senndugol 9,0 les (hakkundeere 973,0, senndugol 25,6).

Ƴeewndo weltinoowo

Taarorde peewnde wootere e noogaas ko “tiiɗnde”. Ko ɗum limoore ndee firti.

Taarorde peewnde wootere e noogaas ko “tiiɗnde”. Ko ɗum limoore ndee firti.

Iwdi

  1. Pearson, K. “On the criterion that a given system of deviations from the probable…” Philosophical Magazine 50(302), 1900.
  2. Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1. Wiley, winndannde 3ɓiire, 1968. Halkugol fijoowo kaalis, feccere XIV.
  3. Wizard of Odds. “Ask the Wizard”, naamne ruleet. Hesɗitinaa 3 Ut 2026.
ƴeewtaa 2026-09-28misal: ruleet Orop, seero gootolaawol golle ↗iwdi ↗