Dabare Ruleet Martingale
Dabare ruleet Martingale ina ɓeyda pari ɗiɗi caggal kala majjere, ina rutta e pari fuɗɗoode caggal dañal. Kala dañal ina rutta majjeeje ɓennuɗe fof e inite fuɗɗoode wootere. Hello ngol ina hollira ko ɗum waɗata kaalis pari, e ko waɗi ɗum waawaa waylude majjere fodaande.
No sistem ruleet Martingale golliri?
Majju, ɓeydu ɗiɗi. Daañu, rutto e pari fuɗɗoode. Ɗum woni sistem oo fof. E pari fuɗɗoode $10 e keerol taabal $500, doggol ngol ina timmoo caggal majjeeje jeegom. Kolon sakkitiingol ngol ko porobabilite yettaade ngol taaɓal e pari njoɓdi fotndi, ɗo kala majjere jogii porobabilite 19/37.
Pari fuɗɗoode $10, keerol taabal $500. Caggal majjeeje jeegom, pari garoowo ko $640, ɓuri keerol: jokkondiral ngal ina hela, $630 majjii. Sahaa majjeeje jeegom jokkondirɗe e boɗeere ko (19/37)^6 = 1,83%, hono laabi wootere e kala etaaje 55.
Yah e sistem ngoo
Majjere ina ɓeyda pari ngo laabi ɗiɗi. Dañal ina rutta e fuɗɗoode.
Pariiji e njeñtuɗi ina limtee e initeeji pari fuɗɗoode.
No jonnde wonirta?
Taaɓe tokooseeje ina ƴeŋa, caggal ɗuum dingiral. E Martingale ruleet kala doggol ɓeydagol ɗiɗi timmungol ina ɓeyda pari fuɗɗoode gooto, ɗum noon dowol ngol ina ƴeŋa seeɗa seeɗa. Doggol hawrowol e keerol $500 ina ruttita $630 e sahaa gootal: taaɓe 63 e majje.
- p10 −$1 000
- p25 −$1 000
- medyan −$1 000
- p75 +$930
- p90 +$1 830
Simulateer
Kala teeltagol ina fija jonɗe 2 000 pariiji njoɓdi fotndi gila e kaalis pari $1 000. Njeñtuɗi ina kesitoo e sahaa oo.
Ko ɓuri heewde e jonɗe ina gasa e dañal famɗungal (40,8%), ɗum ko ɗum foɗɗata. Hakkundeere ndee ko les seero (−$66,44) sabu jonɗe majjuɗe ɗee ko mawɗe: jokkondiral pari ngal hewtii keerol taabal e 59,3% e jonɗe. Fijoowo pari fotɗi $10 e taarle gootuɗe ɗee ina fodaa majjinde hedde $27.
No majjereeji jokkondirɗi ngarirta sahaa kala
Pari njoɓdi fotndi e taarorde seero gooto ina majja taarle 19 e 37. Kala gongol ko porobabilite kala taarle jokkondirɗe limtaaɗe majja, e ko fijoowo Martingale, ɓeydoowo pari laabi ɗiɗi caggal kala majjere, majjini haa ndeen.
| majjereeji jokkondirɗi | sahaa | hedde 1 e | majjinaaɗo haa jooni | pari garoowo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51,4% | 2 | $1 | $2 |
| 2 | 26,4% | 4 | $3 | $4 |
| 3 | 13,5% | 7 | $7 | $8 |
| 4 | 7,0% | 14 | $15 | $16 |
| 5 | 3,6% | 28 | $31 | $32 |
| 6 | 1,8% | 55 | $63 | $64 |
| 7 | 0,94% | 106 | $127 | $128 |
| 8 | 0,48% | 207 | $255 | $256 |
| 9 | 0,25% | 403 | $511 | $512 |
| 10 | 0,13% | 784 | $1 023 | $1 024 |
| 11 | 0,065% | 1527 | $2 047 | $2 048 |
| 12 | 0,034% | 2974 | $4 095 | $4 096 |
| 13 | 0,017% | 5792 | $8 191 | $8 192 |
| 14 | 0,0089% | 11279 | $16 383 | $16 384 |
| 15 | 0,0046% | 21965 | $32 767 | $32 768 |
Porobabilite ndee ko 19/37 fiilaaɗo e hoore mum laabi foti e majjereeji, limtaaɗi gila e taarol gootol anndaangol. Jonnde juutnde ina jogii taarle keewɗe ɗe jokkondiral ngal waawi fuɗɗaade, ɗum noon e nder kikiiɗe gootol ina ɓuri wonde no feewi ko gongol gootol hollata.
Jokkondiral majjeeje sappo e joy ina waɗa hono laabi wootere e nder etaaje 22 000. Ɗum ina nanndi e ko alaa kulol. Wonaa noon, sabu ɗiɗi. Kala taarol ina fuɗɗa etaare hesere, kiikiiɗe gootol ina jogii taarle teemedde. Alaa kadi mo yettotoo sappo e joy: gila e $10 fuɗɗoode, keerol $500 ina darna ɓeydagol ɗiɗi caggal majjeeje jeegom, ɗe ngarata hono laabi wootere e nder etaaje 55.
Ko waɗi ina waawaa waylude kot?
Njaru fodaandu ina tawtoree. So kala pari gooto jogii njaru fodaandu −2,70% e kaalis mum, kala doggol pariiji, no kaalis pari suɓirtee fof, ina jogii njaru fodaandu −2,70% e kaalis pariyaaɗo fof. Suɓugol kaalis pari ina waawi jokkude e njeñtuɗi ɓennuɗi; waawaa jokkude e garoowo oo.
bᵢ suɓaama hade taarol i; Xᵢ = ±1 ceertiingo e bᵢ
Miijooji juumɗi ɗi ɓuri heewde
Ƴeewndo weltinoowo
Dañe tokooseeje keewɗe, majjere mawnde wootere nde njaraani. Ko aan e hoore maa yoɓata ɓeydaari ndii.
