Caɗeele: Ko Foti Haa Seero Yalta
Seero ina yalta taarol gooto e nder 37 e hakkundeere. Ko foti fadde goonga, e ko ɗum waɗata fijoowo pari njoɓdi fotndi?
Fadde seero ko jeometrik: hakkundeere taarle 37, medyan 25, fadde gootol e nder noogaas ina ɓura taarle 110. E nder jonnde taarle 200 fijoowo pari njoɓdi fotndi ina fodaa seeroɗi 5,4, ina yiya hakkunde 1 e 10.
Caɗeele ɗee
SeerotaarordeSeeroSuudu haako wootere nde hay pari njoɓdi fotndi, sappo e ɗiɗi walla kolon kuuɓataa; ko ɗum woni iwdi ɓural kasino. Ina noddee kadi: seero gooto, 0.Tar fof → ina jogii porobabilitematematikPorobabiliteSahaa njeñtudi, immorde 0 haa 1 walla 0% haa 100%. Limoore wootere: 1/37 = 2,70%.Tar fof → 1/37 e taarol kala. (a) Hol ko woni porobabilite wonde alaa seero e nder taarle 37 garooje? (b) Hol ko woni fadde medyan? (c) E nder jonnde taarle 200 njoɓdi fotndi, seeroɗi hoto fijoowo foti fodde, e hol ko woni keeri ɗii?
Jaabawol
(a) (36/37)³⁷ = 36,3%. Ko ɓuri tataɓal sahaa, taarle 37 ina mbenna tawa alaa seero fey, ɗum ko hiisa gooto e “hewtude gootol ko famɗi fof e limoore wooterepariLimoore wootereLimoore wootere tan, ina yoɓa 35:1.Tar fof → e nder taarle 37” wonde 63,7% tan. (b) Fadde W ko jeometrik; p(W > k) = (36/37)ᵏ; medyan oo ko k ɗo ɗum ina ƴoŋkoo 0,5, ɗum ko k ≈ 25. Feccere faddeeji ɗii ko taarle 25 walla ko ɓuri famɗude, feccere goɗnde ina ɓuri juutde; hakkundeere 37 ina ɓantee e lappol juutngol. (c) Seeroɗi e nder taarle 200 ko binomial jogiiɗo hakkundeere 200/37 = 5,4 e seerndu ndenndaandumatematikSeerndu ndenndaanduRaasin karee wariyaas; ko woɗɗeende aadanteende njeñtudi e njaru fodaandu.Tar fof → √(200 × (1/37) × (36/37)) ≈ 2,3. Keeri 95% ko hono 1 haa 10.
Ko seero ina coggina fijoowo pari njoɓdi fotndi
Seero kala ina coggina pari gooto, seeroɗi ɗii kadi ko ɓural ngal fof e boɗeerepariBoɗeerePari njoɓdi fotndi e limooje 18 boɗeeje. E Farayse: rouge.Tar fof →: e nder taarle 37 hakkundeeje, dañal 18 e majjere 18 ina pottinoo, seero gooto oo ko −1/37. E nder jonnde taarle 200 e $10, seeroɗi 5,4 fodaaɗi ɗii ina coggoo $54, ɗum ko 200 × $10 / 37 tigi. Jonnde jogiinde seeroɗi 2 heɓii baraka $34; jonnde jogiinde seeroɗi 9 heɓii bone $36, ina wayi no ko janfaa. E taabal la partagesariyaLa partageSariya Farayse: so seero yalti, feccere pari njoɓdi fotndi ina ruttee. Ina feccita ɓural kasino e pariiji ɗii haa 1,35%.Tar fof → seero kala ina coggoo feccere pari, limooje ɗee ina pecca e ɗiɗi.
Sariya La partage e RuleetHol Ruleet Internet Ina Janfa? Miijo Juumɗo
Naamnal jokkowal
Hol ko woni porobabilite seeroɗi ɗiɗi jokkondirɗi? (1/37)² = 1/1 369. E kasino ndognoowo taabalji 20 e taarle 50 e waktu, ɗum ko hono seeroɗi ɗiɗi jokkondirɗi gooto nokku woɗɗo e kala waktu 1,4. Fijooɓe yiyɓe ɗum ina mbiya taarorde ndee ko bonnde; hiisa ngal ina wiya ko talaata tan.
Etto ɗum
Simulateer Jonnde Ruleet ina limoo seeroɗi e jonnde kala. Ndogn taarle 100 laabi teemedde seeɗa, natto limoore nde: histogram dow oo ina yalta, e lappol mum juutngol e sara ñaamo. Lappol ngol ko ɗoon daarti ɗii ngaddi.
Formil
Naamne
Wonaa e taarorde peewnde. E taarorde ooñiindelaboratuwaarTaarorde ooñiindeTaarorde nde ŋakkeeli mum ɗi fiisik waɗi cuuɗi goɗɗi ina ɓura yaltude 1/37. Ina woowaa, anndetaake si wonaa e taarle ujunaaje winndaaɗe.Tar fof → kala suudukuutorɗeSuuduGootel e cuuɗi 37 limoraaɗi e rotoor. Ina noddee kadi: wenndu, kopp.Tar fof → ina waawi, ina naami kadi taarle ujunaaji ngam anndude ɗum.
Ko pari 2,70% hono goɗɗi ɗii fof. Ina waylita mbaadi jonnde ndee (seero ina wonta dañal), wonaa coggu ngu.
Sabu senndugol faddeeji ngol ko ooñiingol: faddeeji ɓooyaani keewɗi, seeɗa juutɗi no feewi.
Ƴeewndo weltinoowo
Hakkundeere 37, medyan 25, e lappol juutngol ɗo taalli ɗii ngonata.
Iwdi
- Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.